No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Jun 18 04:02:01 UTC 2013.

WW 0322 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 322

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW GCK
TO 30 NNW LAA TO 15 SE AKO TO 30 ESE DGW.

..ROGERS..06/18/13

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC017-063-125-180340-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE             KIT CARSON          YUMA                


KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-180340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE             GREELEY             LOGAN               
RAWLINS              SHERMAN             THOMAS              
WALLACE              WICHITA             


NEC007-013-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-123-135-157-165-
180340-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BANNER               BOX BUTTE           CHASE               

WW 322 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 172025Z - 180400Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 322
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN COLORADO
  FAR WESTERN KANSAS
  WESTERN NEBRASKA
  SOUTHEAST WYOMING

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF
TORRINGTON WYOMING TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
COLORADO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...

DISCUSSION...AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CO/SOUTHEAST WY FRONT
RANGE INTO THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. VEERING WIND PROFILES AND A
RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS/MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN
SUPERCELLS/SUSTAINED MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. AS STORMS
SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD...THE DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR MORE MCS/S MAY
OCCUR BY EARLY/MID EVENING...WITH MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND THREAT
POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.


...GUYER

WW 0323 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 323

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW FST TO
40 E HOB TO 45 WSW LBB TO 20 ENE TCC TO 30 WSW GAG.

..ROGERS..06/18/13

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC003-011-017-033-045-049-059-065-069-081-083-103-107-115-117-
125-129-135-151-153-165-169-173-179-189-191-207-219-227-233-253-
263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-359-369-375-381-383-393-
399-415-417-431-433-437-441-445-447-461-475-180340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDREWS              ARMSTRONG           BAILEY              
BORDEN               BRISCOE             BROWN               
CALLAHAN             CARSON              CASTRO              
COKE                 COLEMAN             CRANE               
CROSBY               DAWSON              DEAF SMITH          
DICKENS              DONLEY              ECTOR               
FISHER               FLOYD               GAINES              
GARZA                GLASSCOCK           GRAY                
HALE                 HALL                HASKELL             
HOCKLEY              HOWARD              HUTCHINSON          
JONES                KENT                KING                
LAMB                 LUBBOCK             LYNN                
MARTIN               MIDLAND             MITCHELL            
MOTLEY               NOLAN               OLDHAM              
PARMER               POTTER              RANDALL             
REAGAN               ROBERTS             RUNNELS             
SCURRY               SHACKELFORD         STERLING            

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

VALID 180100Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR PERSISTING THROUGH THE
EVENING WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS FROM ERN CO/FAR
WRN KS NWD INTO SERN WY AND THE NEB PANHANDLE.  THE SLIGHT RISK HAS
BEEN EXPANDED A LITTLE NWD TO ACCOUNT FOR STORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL
WY AND THE NRN EXTENT OF THE NEB PANHANDLE AND WRN NEB AS THEY TRACK
SSEWD.  ELY LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VEER TO SLY AND
STRENGTHEN TO 25-30 KT THIS EVENING...ENHANCING LOW LEVEL SHEAR FOR
A CONTINUED THREAT FOR A TORNADO OR TWO. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST
UPSCALE GROWTH IS POSSIBLE FOR ONE OR TWO TSTM CLUSTERS TO DEVELOP
AND TRACK SWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD...WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS LATER THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
STORMS THAT HAVE MOVED OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ERN NM AND FAR W TX
WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE INTO ONE OR TWO N-S ORIENTED BROKEN LINES AS
INDICATED BY CURRENT TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY.  A MOIST...
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER MUCH OF WEST TX COMBINED WITH
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR UP TO 40-45 KT WILL FAVOR SEVERE STORMS...SOME
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS IN THE LINES.  ADDITIONAL ORGANIZED STORMS WILL
PERSIST ALONG A NW-SE ORIENTED OUTFLOW ENHANCED BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES
TOWARD THE PERMIAN BASIN.  A DEEP WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER EXISTS
OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN WITH SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS UP TO 40
DEGREES...ENHANCING A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS. FOR THIS REASON AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWD MOVING MCS TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER THE
TX HIGH PLAINS INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN HAVE RESULTED IN A SWD SHIFT
OF THE 30 PERCENT SEVERE WIND THREAT AREA.

...SRN LOWER MI INTO NERN OH/NWRN PA/WRN NY...
A FEW ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE YET THIS
EVENING ACROSS THESE AREAS PRIOR TO THE STABILIZATION OF THE
BOUNDARY LAYER.

...NORTH CENTRAL MT...
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR UP TO 35 KT WILL
SUPPORT A FEW ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS ACTIVITY MOVES
OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO NORTH CENTRAL MT.

..PETERS.. 06/18/2013

WW 0321 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 321

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MSV TO
15 NE POU TO 20 NNE ORH TO 50 ESE PSM.

..ROGERS..06/17/13

ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...GYX...BGM...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 321 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-172240-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FAIRFIELD            HARTFORD            MIDDLESEX           
NEW HAVEN            NEW LONDON          TOLLAND             
WINDHAM              


MAC005-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-172240-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRISTOL              HAMPDEN             HAMPSHIRE           
MIDDLESEX            NORFOLK             PLYMOUTH            
SUFFOLK              WORCESTER           


NYC071-079-087-119-172240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE